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HaveNots Longs '25: Discount Retail

19 tickers · $2.06T total market cap

Group: HaveNots Longs

This subtheme leans into value-conscious retail formats that serve the everyday needs of price-sensitive consumers. The basket includes dollar stores, off-price apparel, beauty value, warehouse clubs, and auto/maintenance value. The thesis is that low- to mid-income consumers are trading down, not out—and these businesses benefit from traffic and wallet share reallocation.

HaveNots Longs '25: Discount Retail tracks 19 publicly listed stocks in this theme. Sample tickers: AZO, BJ, BURL, CAL, COST, DG, DLTR, DOL.TO, FIVE, MNRO, OLLI, ORLY, and 7 more. Use the table below for the full list.

Thesis update: 2025-04-07

Constituents

Build 20260519T212339

CompanyPrevious Quarter Report DateNext Expected Report DateLast Quarter Earnings Move %Earnings Move %Intra-Quarter Move %Since Last Report %Market capWeight
Walmart Inc.WMT
02/19/2026 (BMO)05/21/2026 (BMO)-2.87%9.11%$1.06T5.2632
Costco Wholesale CorporationCOST
03/05/2026 (AMC)05/28/2026 (AMC)1.58%9.64%$477.58B5.2632
The TJX Companies, Inc.TJX
02/25/2026 (BMO)05/20/2026 (BMO)0.65%-5.05%$166.30B5.2632
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.ORLY
04/29/2026 (AMC)04/29/2026 (AMC)-2.60%8.55%-2.69%-7.53%$76.03B5.2632
Ross Stores, Inc.ROST
03/03/2026 (AMC)05/21/2026 (AMC)8.70%-0.39%$68.27B5.2632
AutoZone, Inc.AZO
03/03/2026 (BMO)05/26/2026 (BMO)-4.26%-9.95%$55.46B5.2632
Dollarama Inc.DOL.TO
03/24/2026 (BMO)06/11/2026 (BMO)-8.37%-0.95%$33.70B5.2632
Dollar General CorporationDG
03/12/2026 (BMO)06/02/2026 (BMO)-8.98%-21.51%$23.39B5.2632
Ulta Beauty, Inc.ULTA
03/12/2026 (AMC)06/02/2026 (AMC)-14.24%-10.11%$20.99B5.2632
Burlington Stores, Inc.BURL
03/05/2026 (BMO)05/28/2026 (BMO)1.63%-6.42%$18.24B5.2632
Dollar Tree, Inc.DLTR
03/16/2026 (BMO)05/28/2026 (BMO)4.08%-18.98%$18.00B5.2632
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.BJ
03/05/2026 (BMO)05/21/2026 (BMO)-3.18%0.89%$12.39B5.2632
Five Below, Inc.FIVE
03/18/2026 (AMC)7.04%-8.84%$12.06B5.2632
Skechers U.S.A., Inc.SKX
10/30/2025 (AMC)0.00%0.00%$9.49B5.2632
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.OLLI
03/12/2026 (AMC)4.18%-27.06%$4.96B5.2632
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.SBH
05/11/2026 (BMO)05/11/2026 (BMO)-3.47%-10.91%-10.06%-3.28%$1.13B5.2632
PAR Technology CorporationPAR
05/07/2026 (AMC)05/07/2026 (AMC)-27.03%3.97%-8.54%2.15%$577.4M5.2632
Monro, Inc.MNRO
01/28/2026 (BMO)05/27/2026 (BMO)-5.19%-19.54%$472.5M5.2632
Caleres, Inc.CAL
03/19/2026 (AMC)05/28/2026 (AMC)1.71%3.08%$370.1M5.2632
Average-2.66%0.54%-6.70%-2.88%$108.54B5.2632
Median-2.60%3.97%-6.42%-3.28%$18.24B5.2632
Std Dev7.94%8.31%9.73%3.96%$249.03B0.0%
Min-27.03%-10.91%-27.06%-7.53%$370.1M5.2632
Max8.70%8.55%9.64%2.15%$1.06T5.2632
% Positive Tickers42.11%66.67%21.05%33.33%

* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.

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