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Stagflation Short '25: Consumer Demand Compression
10 tickers · $109.19B total market cap
Group: Stagflation Short
This basket is based on the premise that U.S. consumers face a dual shock from tariff-induced inflation and wage stagnation, leading to a broad contraction in discretionary spending. These companies—especially in home goods, apparel, and lifestyle—rely heavily on consumer health, brand pricing power, and global sourcing models that are now under pressure.
Stagflation Short '25: Consumer Demand Compression tracks 10 publicly listed stocks in this theme: ARCB, ASO, ONON, OXM, RH, SONO, TGT, UAA, W, WSM. See the constituent table for details.
Thesis update: 2025-04-09
Constituents
Build 20260519T212339
| Company | Previous Quarter Report Date | Next Expected Report Date | Last Quarter Earnings Move % | Earnings Move % | Intra-Quarter Move % | Since Last Report % | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target CorporationTGT | 03/03/2026 (BMO) | 05/20/2026 (BMO) | 6.11% | — | 5.96% | — | $55.88B | 10.0000 |
Williams-Sonoma, Inc.WSM | 03/18/2026 (AMC) | 05/28/2026 (AMC) | -3.09% | — | -5.93% | — | $20.13B | 10.0000 |
On Holding AGONON | 05/12/2026 (BMO) | 05/12/2026 (BMO) | -7.55% | 3.97% | -21.26% | 5.50% | $12.61B | 10.0000 |
Wayfair Inc.W | 04/30/2026 (BMO) | 04/30/2026 (BMO) | -10.99% | -10.60% | -10.02% | -12.27% | $7.82B | 10.0000 |
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.ASO | 03/17/2026 (BMO) | — | -10.19% | — | -2.68% | — | $3.22B | 10.0000 |
ArcBest CorporationARCB | 04/28/2026 (BMO) | 04/28/2026 (BMO) | 5.76% | 0.25% | 40.48% | -6.58% | $2.73B | 10.0000 |
RhRH | 03/31/2026 (AMC) | 06/11/2026 (AMC) | -18.85% | — | 8.23% | — | $2.27B | 10.0000 |
Under Armour, Inc.UAA | 05/12/2026 (BMO) | 05/12/2026 (BMO) | 20.38% | -15.68% | -19.84% | 0.59% | $2.15B | 10.0000 |
Sonos, Inc.SONO | 05/04/2026 (AMC) | 05/04/2026 (AMC) | 13.19% | -5.59% | -10.21% | 5.28% | $1.78B | 10.0000 |
Oxford Industries, Inc.OXM | 03/26/2026 (AMC) | 06/17/2026 (AMC) | 8.69% | — | 8.86% | — | $575.7M | 10.0000 |
| Average | 0.35% | -5.53% | -0.64% | -1.50% | $10.92B | 10.0000 | ||
| Median | 1.34% | -5.59% | -4.30% | 0.59% | $2.98B | 10.0000 | ||
| Std Dev | 11.75% | 7.10% | 17.05% | 6.95% | $16.09B | 0.0% | ||
| Min | -18.85% | -15.68% | -21.26% | -12.27% | $575.7M | 10.0000 | ||
| Max | 20.38% | 3.97% | 40.48% | 5.50% | $55.88B | 10.0000 | ||
| % Positive Tickers | 50.00% | 40.00% | 40.00% | 60.00% |
* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.