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Stagflation Short '25: Expensive Tech

10 tickers · $10.04T total market cap

Group: Stagflation Short

In the face of Trump's aggressive tariff regime and supply chain realignment, expensive tech—especially hardware-dependent and consumer-exposed names—are structurally vulnerable. These companies sit at the intersection of rising input costs, margin compression, weak global demand, and overvaluation. The assumption that tech is “deflation proof” is proving dangerously wrong.

Stagflation Short '25: Expensive Tech tracks 10 publicly listed stocks in this theme: AAPL, DELL, DXCM, NTAP, NVDA, PODD, QBTS, RGTI, SOUN, ZS. See the constituent table for details.

Thesis update: 2025-04-09

Constituents

Build 20260519T212339

CompanyPrevious Quarter Report DateNext Expected Report DateLast Quarter Earnings Move %Earnings Move %Intra-Quarter Move %Since Last Report %Market capWeight
NVIDIA CorporationNVDA
02/25/2026 (AMC)05/20/2026 (AMC)-9.39%19.32%$5.40T10.0000
Apple Inc.AAPL
04/30/2026 (AMC)04/30/2026 (AMC)0.46%3.69%4.57%6.72%$4.37T10.0000
Dell Technologies Inc.DELL
02/26/2026 (AMC)05/28/2026 (AMC)21.93%58.87%$160.67B10.0000
Zscaler, Inc.ZS
02/26/2026 (AMC)05/26/2026 (AMC)-12.17%19.23%$28.09B10.0000
DexCom, Inc.DXCM
04/30/2026 (AMC)04/30/2026 (AMC)7.59%6.58%-14.95%9.13%$25.12B10.0000
NetApp, Inc.NTAP
02/26/2026 (AMC)05/28/2026 (AMC)-0.11%21.77%$23.89B10.0000
Insulet CorporationPODD
05/06/2026 (AMC)05/06/2026 (AMC)-6.27%-4.26%-37.46%-3.61%$10.56B10.0000
D-Wave Quantum Inc.QBTS
05/12/2026 (BMO)05/12/2026 (BMO)-4.43%-10.78%27.96%-15.16%$7.00B10.0000
Rigetti Computing, Inc.RGTI
05/11/2026 (AMC)05/11/2026 (AMC)-4.22%0.69%20.58%-16.31%$5.52B10.0000
SoundHound AI, Inc.SOUN
05/07/2026 (AMC)05/07/2026 (AMC)-4.23%-5.23%11.98%-4.84%$3.56B10.0000
Average-1.08%-1.55%13.19%-4.01%$1.00T10.0000
Median-4.23%-1.78%19.27%-4.23%$24.50B10.0000
Std Dev9.26%5.84%24.37%9.70%$1.96T0.0%
Min-12.17%-10.78%-37.46%-16.31%$3.56B10.0000
Max21.93%6.58%58.87%9.13%$5.40T10.0000
% Positive Tickers30.00%50.00%80.00%33.33%

* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.

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