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Stagflation Short '25: Tariff Sensitivity
9 tickers · $191.31B total market cap
Group: Stagflation Short
The basket includes companies heavily dependent on imported components or finished goods. In Spring 2025, Trump's aggressive tariff agenda has directly hit their cost bases while weakening demand limits pricing power. These companies are caught between structurally higher input costs and demand-side stagnation, with limited room to pivot their supply chains fast enough to protect margins.
Stagflation Short '25: Tariff Sensitivity tracks 9 publicly listed stocks in this theme: FLEX, GRMN, HAS, HPQ, IOT, JBL, MASI, PTON, WHR. See the constituent table for details.
Thesis update: 2025-04-09
Constituents
Build 20260519T212339
| Company | Previous Quarter Report Date | Next Expected Report Date | Last Quarter Earnings Move % | Earnings Move % | Intra-Quarter Move % | Since Last Report % | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Flex Ltd.FLEX | 05/05/2026 (AMC) | 05/05/2026 (AMC) | -8.86% | 46.70% | 60.36% | -6.26% | $47.70B | 11.1111 |
Garmin Ltd.GRMN | 04/29/2026 (BMO) | 04/29/2026 (BMO) | 10.52% | 1.34% | 3.34% | -8.94% | $43.76B | 11.1111 |
Jabil Inc.JBL | 03/18/2026 (BMO) | 06/16/2026 (BMO) | 1.13% | — | 25.47% | — | $35.74B | 11.1111 |
HP Inc.HPQ | 02/24/2026 (AMC) | 05/27/2026 (AMC) | 3.35% | — | 15.16% | — | $19.20B | 11.1111 |
Samsara Inc.IOT | 03/05/2026 (AMC) | 06/04/2026 (AMC) | 19.54% | — | -12.92% | — | $17.56B | 11.1111 |
Hasbro, Inc.HAS | 02/10/2026 (BMO) | 05/20/2026 (BMO) | 9.49% | — | -8.27% | — | $13.26B | 11.1111 |
Masimo CorporationMASI | 05/05/2026 (AMC) | 05/05/2026 (AMC) | 0.07% | 0.16% | 1.84% | 0.17% | $9.36B | 11.1111 |
Whirlpool CorporationWHR | 05/06/2026 (AMC) | 05/06/2026 (AMC) | -1.09% | -11.04% | -31.58% | -15.45% | $2.56B | 11.1111 |
Peloton Interactive, Inc.PTON | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | -21.74% | 9.42% | 12.43% | -8.08% | $2.17B | 11.1111 |
| Average | 1.38% | 9.32% | 7.31% | -7.71% | $21.26B | 11.1111 | ||
| Median | 1.13% | 1.34% | 3.34% | -8.08% | $17.56B | 11.1111 | ||
| Std Dev | 11.21% | 19.80% | 24.59% | 5.02% | $16.17B | 0.0% | ||
| Min | -21.74% | -11.04% | -31.58% | -15.45% | $2.17B | 11.1111 | ||
| Max | 19.54% | 46.70% | 60.36% | 0.17% | $47.70B | 11.1111 | ||
| % Positive Tickers | 66.67% | 80.00% | 66.67% | 20.00% |
* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.