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TrumpPolicy PreElection Long '24: Guns, Prison & Security
7 tickers · $41.73B total market cap
Group: TrumpPolicy PreElection Long
Trump's win boosts demand for private prisons (GEO), law enforcement tech (AXON), and security infrastructure (APOG), as tough-on-crime, immigration, and protest policies gain traction. Gun/ammo names (VSTO, OLN, SWBI) benefit from civil unrest fears, pro-gun sentiment, and anti-regulation stances. Surveillance and tactical communication names (CMTL) may see increased federal/local budgets for border and riot control. Thematically, this basket reflects both policy support and societal reflexivity around security.
TrumpPolicy PreElection Long '24: Guns, Prison & Security tracks 7 publicly listed stocks in this theme: APOG, AXON, CMTL, GEO, OLN, SWBI, VSTO. See the constituent table for details.
Thesis update: 2025-04-18
Constituents
Build 20260520T081747
| Company | Previous Quarter Report Date | Next Expected Report Date | Last Quarter Earnings Move % | Earnings Move % | Intra-Quarter Move % | Since Last Report % | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Axon Enterprise, Inc.AXON | 05/06/2026 (AMC) | 05/06/2026 (AMC) | 24.33% | 12.16% | -29.87% | -8.09% | $31.62B | 14.2857 |
The GEO Group, Inc.GEO | 05/06/2026 (BMO) | 05/06/2026 (BMO) | -10.23% | 15.58% | 29.20% | 7.49% | $3.05B | 14.2857 |
Olin CorporationOLN | 05/07/2026 (AMC) | 05/07/2026 (AMC) | -6.85% | -6.81% | 28.59% | -3.28% | $2.96B | 14.2857 |
Vista Outdoor Inc.VSTO | 11/06/2024 (BMO) | — | -0.02% | — | 1.13% | — | $2.61B | 14.2857 |
Apogee Enterprises, Inc.APOG | 04/24/2026 (BMO) | 04/24/2026 (BMO) | -9.45% | 7.59% | 5.41% | -12.98% | $707.1M | 14.2857 |
Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.SWBI | 03/05/2026 (AMC) | — | 18.66% | — | 8.58% | — | $675.9M | 14.2857 |
Comtech Telecommunications Corp.CMTL | 03/16/2026 (AMC) | — | -30.10% | — | 1.09% | — | $110.0M | 14.2857 |
| Average | -1.95% | 7.13% | 6.31% | -4.21% | $5.96B | 14.2857 | ||
| Median | -6.85% | 9.87% | 5.41% | -5.69% | $2.61B | 14.2857 | ||
| Std Dev | 17.16% | 8.53% | 18.48% | 7.58% | $10.54B | 0.0% | ||
| Min | -30.10% | -6.81% | -29.87% | -12.98% | $110.0M | 14.2857 | ||
| Max | 24.33% | 15.58% | 29.20% | 7.49% | $31.62B | 14.2857 | ||
| % Positive Tickers | 28.57% | 75.00% | 85.71% | 25.00% |
* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.