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TrumpPolicy PreElection Long '24: I-Banking

8 tickers · $53.42B total market cap

Group: TrumpPolicy PreElection Long

A potential Trump presidency signals a return to financial deregulation, capital gains tax certainty, and pro-business sentiment—fueling M&A, IPOs, and restructuring. Independent advisory firms like EVR, PIPR, and JEF benefit from both rising deal volumes and client preference for discretion during volatile or politically sensitive transactions. Rate normalization, PE dry powder deployment, and a pivot from regulatory overhangs under Biden combine to create an environment conducive to high-margin investment banking advisory work.

TrumpPolicy PreElection Long '24: I-Banking tracks 8 publicly listed stocks in this theme: EVR, HLI, JEF, LAZ, MC, PIPR, PJT, PWP. See the constituent table for details.

Thesis update: 2025-04-18

Constituents

Build 20260520T081747

CompanyPrevious Quarter Report DateNext Expected Report DateLast Quarter Earnings Move %Earnings Move %Intra-Quarter Move %Since Last Report %Market capWeight
Evercore Inc.EVR
04/29/2026 (BMO)04/29/2026 (BMO)3.66%-5.64%-3.03%0.61%$12.80B18.0000
Jefferies Financial Group Inc.JEF
03/25/2026 (AMC)0.53%26.76%$10.44B9.0000
Houlihan Lokey, Inc.HLI
05/06/202605/06/2026-6.76%2.22%-12.21%-4.36%$10.20B13.0000
Piper Sandler CompaniesPIPR
05/01/2026 (BMO)05/01/2026 (BMO)9.88%-8.92%3.48%-2.27%$5.51B9.0000
Moelis & CompanyMC
04/29/202604/29/20263.33%-6.56%-7.55%-4.41%$4.63B16.0000
Lazard LtdLAZ
05/01/202605/01/2026-0.13%-6.95%-15.24%0.60%$4.47B10.0000
PJT Partners Inc.PJT
04/28/2026 (BMO)04/28/2026 (BMO)-1.34%-2.41%-3.16%1.15%$3.72B14.0000
Perella Weinberg PartnersPWP
05/01/2026 (BMO)05/01/2026 (BMO)0.00%-9.37%-11.10%-15.43%$1.64B11.0000
Average1.15%-5.38%-2.76%-3.44%$6.68B12.5000
Median0.26%-6.56%-5.36%-2.27%$5.07B12.0000
Std Dev4.46%3.76%12.49%5.35%$3.68B3.1225
Min-6.76%-9.37%-15.24%-15.43%$1.64B9.0000
Max9.88%2.22%26.76%1.15%$12.80B18.0000
% Positive Tickers50.00%14.29%25.00%42.86%

* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.

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