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TrumpPolicy PreElection Long '24: Tariff Winners

9 tickers · $1.31T total market cap

Group: TrumpPolicy PreElection Long

A Trump-driven tariff regime favors companies with domestic supply chains, private label leverage, and value-driven business models. BJ, ROST, and WMT gain share as cost-conscious consumers trade down amid import price inflation. Domestic producers like DECK, KAI, and WRK benefit from reshoring tailwinds and reduced foreign competition. BDX sees insulation via medical device exemptions and U.S. manufacturing scale. This basket reflects relative pricing power, supply chain resilience, and an edge in a tariff-disrupted consumer landscape.

TrumpPolicy PreElection Long '24: Tariff Winners tracks 9 publicly listed stocks in this theme: ARHS, BDX, BJ, DECK, KAI, ORLY, ROST, WMT, WRK. See the constituent table for details.

Thesis update: 2025-04-18

Constituents

Build 20260520T081747

CompanyPrevious Quarter Report DateNext Expected Report DateLast Quarter Earnings Move %Earnings Move %Intra-Quarter Move %Since Last Report %Market capWeight
Walmart Inc.WMT
02/19/2026 (BMO)05/21/2026 (BMO)-2.87%9.11%$1.07T11.1111
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.ORLY
04/29/2026 (AMC)04/29/2026 (AMC)-2.60%8.55%-2.69%-7.53%$76.18B11.1111
Ross Stores, Inc.ROST
03/03/2026 (AMC)05/21/2026 (AMC)8.70%-0.39%$68.79B11.1111
Becton, Dickinson and CompanyBDX
05/07/2026 (BMO)05/07/2026 (BMO)3.98%3.23%-15.68%-1.66%$53.24B11.1111
Deckers Outdoor CorporationDECK
01/29/2026 (AMC)05/21/2026 (AMC)19.46%-21.01%$13.38B11.1111
WestRock CompanyWRK
08/01/2024 (BMO)0.00%0.00%$13.30B11.1111
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.BJ
03/05/2026 (BMO)05/22/2026 (BMO)-3.18%0.89%$12.47B11.1111
Kadant Inc.KAI
05/05/202605/05/20266.07%14.39%-15.02%-7.31%$3.58B11.1111
Arhaus, Inc.ARHS
05/07/2026 (BMO)05/07/2026 (BMO)-1.55%-14.30%-8.00%-11.15%$818.1M11.1111
Average3.11%2.97%-5.86%-6.91%$145.72B11.1111
Median0.00%5.89%-2.69%-7.42%$13.38B11.1111
Std Dev7.05%10.72%9.18%3.39%$327.80B0.0%
Min-3.18%-14.30%-21.01%-11.15%$818.1M11.1111
Max19.46%14.39%9.11%-1.66%$1.07T11.1111
% Positive Tickers44.44%75.00%22.22%0.00%

* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.

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