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TrumpPolicy PreElection Long '24: Tariff Winners
9 tickers · $1.31T total market cap
Group: TrumpPolicy PreElection Long
A Trump-driven tariff regime favors companies with domestic supply chains, private label leverage, and value-driven business models. BJ, ROST, and WMT gain share as cost-conscious consumers trade down amid import price inflation. Domestic producers like DECK, KAI, and WRK benefit from reshoring tailwinds and reduced foreign competition. BDX sees insulation via medical device exemptions and U.S. manufacturing scale. This basket reflects relative pricing power, supply chain resilience, and an edge in a tariff-disrupted consumer landscape.
TrumpPolicy PreElection Long '24: Tariff Winners tracks 9 publicly listed stocks in this theme: ARHS, BDX, BJ, DECK, KAI, ORLY, ROST, WMT, WRK. See the constituent table for details.
Thesis update: 2025-04-18
Constituents
Build 20260520T081747
| Company | Previous Quarter Report Date | Next Expected Report Date | Last Quarter Earnings Move % | Earnings Move % | Intra-Quarter Move % | Since Last Report % | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Walmart Inc.WMT | 02/19/2026 (BMO) | 05/21/2026 (BMO) | -2.87% | — | 9.11% | — | $1.07T | 11.1111 |
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.ORLY | 04/29/2026 (AMC) | 04/29/2026 (AMC) | -2.60% | 8.55% | -2.69% | -7.53% | $76.18B | 11.1111 |
Ross Stores, Inc.ROST | 03/03/2026 (AMC) | 05/21/2026 (AMC) | 8.70% | — | -0.39% | — | $68.79B | 11.1111 |
Becton, Dickinson and CompanyBDX | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | 3.98% | 3.23% | -15.68% | -1.66% | $53.24B | 11.1111 |
Deckers Outdoor CorporationDECK | 01/29/2026 (AMC) | 05/21/2026 (AMC) | 19.46% | — | -21.01% | — | $13.38B | 11.1111 |
WestRock CompanyWRK | 08/01/2024 (BMO) | — | 0.00% | — | 0.00% | — | $13.30B | 11.1111 |
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.BJ | 03/05/2026 (BMO) | 05/22/2026 (BMO) | -3.18% | — | 0.89% | — | $12.47B | 11.1111 |
Kadant Inc.KAI | 05/05/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 6.07% | 14.39% | -15.02% | -7.31% | $3.58B | 11.1111 |
Arhaus, Inc.ARHS | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | -1.55% | -14.30% | -8.00% | -11.15% | $818.1M | 11.1111 |
| Average | 3.11% | 2.97% | -5.86% | -6.91% | $145.72B | 11.1111 | ||
| Median | 0.00% | 5.89% | -2.69% | -7.42% | $13.38B | 11.1111 | ||
| Std Dev | 7.05% | 10.72% | 9.18% | 3.39% | $327.80B | 0.0% | ||
| Min | -3.18% | -14.30% | -21.01% | -11.15% | $818.1M | 11.1111 | ||
| Max | 19.46% | 14.39% | 9.11% | -1.66% | $1.07T | 11.1111 | ||
| % Positive Tickers | 44.44% | 75.00% | 22.22% | 0.00% |
* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.
