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HaveNots Shorts '25: Luxury Home & Auto
5 tickers · $199.03B total market cap
Group: HaveNots Shorts
This short basket targets high-end homebuilders and luxury auto brands, which are deeply exposed to affluent discretionary spending, equity-sensitive demand, and status-based purchases. Names face risk as rate sensitivity, declining equity portfolios, and falling confidence among top-income consumers reduce appetite for expensive homes and $80K+ cars. The thesis: as the wealth effect fades, so does the aspirational consumption behind this cycle's premium residential and luxury vehicle booms.
HaveNots Shorts '25: Luxury Home & Auto tracks 5 publicly listed stocks in this theme: BMW.XETRA, LEN, MBG.XETRA, RACE, TOL. See the constituent table for details.
Thesis update: 2025-04-07
Constituents
Build 20260519T212339
| Company | Previous Quarter Report Date | Next Expected Report Date | Last Quarter Earnings Move % | Earnings Move % | Intra-Quarter Move % | Since Last Report % | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ferrari N.V.RACE | 05/05/2026 (BMO) | 05/05/2026 (BMO) | 13.93% | -0.78% | -11.50% | -1.96% | $57.57B | 20.0000 |
Mercedes-Benz Group AGMBG.XETRA | 04/29/2026 (BMO) | 04/29/2026 (BMO) | -0.59% | 1.23% | -16.01% | -0.71% | $55.76B | 20.0000 |
Bayerische Motoren Werke AGBMW.XETRA | 05/06/2026 (BMO) | 05/06/2026 (BMO) | -0.08% | 7.16% | -3.15% | -11.18% | $52.45B | 20.0000 |
Lennar CorporationLEN | 03/12/2026 (BMO) | — | -1.67% | — | -12.59% | — | $21.22B | 20.0000 |
Toll Brothers, Inc.TOL | 02/17/2026 (BMO) | 05/19/2026 (BMO) | -3.68% | — | -22.41% | — | $12.02B | 20.0000 |
| Average | 1.58% | 2.53% | -13.13% | -4.62% | $39.81B | 20.0000 | ||
| Median | -0.59% | 1.23% | -12.59% | -1.96% | $52.45B | 20.0000 | ||
| Std Dev | 6.30% | 3.37% | 6.28% | 4.67% | $19.22B | 0.0% | ||
| Min | -3.68% | -0.78% | -22.41% | -11.18% | $12.02B | 20.0000 | ||
| Max | 13.93% | 7.16% | -3.15% | -0.71% | $57.57B | 20.0000 | ||
| % Positive Tickers | 20.00% | 66.67% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.