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HaveNots Shorts '25: Premium Food
14 tickers · $761.89B total market cap
Group: HaveNots Shorts
This short basket targets premium-priced food and dining concepts exposed to affluent or aspirational consumerswhose spending is highly sensitive to asset prices and sentiment. Some of these brands like rely on frequency and margin-rich traffic from middle-to-upper income earners. Meanwhile, others face downside risk from trading-down behavior, consumer trade-offs, and lower throughput. The thesis: as the wealth effect reverses, discretionary dining and premium grocery volume shrink—even if food-at-home spending holds.
HaveNots Shorts '25: Premium Food tracks 14 publicly listed stocks in this theme. Sample tickers: CAVA, CHEF, CMG, COST, DASH, FRPT, MIDD, SBUX, SFM, SG, SHAK, SMPL, and 2 more. Use the table below for the full list.
Thesis update: 2025-04-07
Constituents
Build 20260519T212339
| Company | Previous Quarter Report Date | Next Expected Report Date | Last Quarter Earnings Move % | Earnings Move % | Intra-Quarter Move % | Since Last Report % | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Costco Wholesale CorporationCOST | 03/05/2026 (AMC) | 05/28/2026 (AMC) | 1.58% | — | 9.64% | — | $477.58B | 7.1429 |
Starbucks CorporationSBUX | 04/28/2026 (AMC) | 04/28/2026 (AMC) | -3.37% | 7.77% | 5.80% | 0.83% | $121.49B | 7.1429 |
DoorDash, Inc.DASH | 05/06/2026 (AMC) | 05/06/2026 (AMC) | 1.68% | 3.14% | -4.72% | -9.75% | $70.88B | 7.1429 |
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.CMG | 04/29/2026 (AMC) | 04/29/2026 (AMC) | -1.84% | 3.41% | -14.20% | -2.79% | $43.96B | 7.1429 |
Toast, Inc.TOST | 05/07/2026 (AMC) | 05/07/2026 (AMC) | 4.55% | -11.52% | 7.50% | -7.31% | $13.13B | 7.1429 |
CAVA Group, Inc.CAVA | 02/24/2026 (AMC) | 05/19/2026 (AMC) | 24.99% | — | -8.81% | — | $9.30B | 7.1429 |
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.SFM | 04/29/2026 (AMC) | 04/29/2026 (AMC) | -0.55% | 15.71% | 5.41% | 9.98% | $8.31B | 7.1429 |
The Middleby CorporationMIDD | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | 7.02% | 15.56% | -15.61% | -14.06% | $6.73B | 7.1429 |
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.CHEF | 04/29/2026 (BMO) | 04/29/2026 (BMO) | 3.73% | 20.80% | -5.25% | -0.68% | $3.25B | 7.1429 |
Shake Shack Inc.SHAK | 05/07/2026 (AMC) | 05/07/2026 (AMC) | -2.64% | -27.33% | -27.88% | -8.58% | $2.40B | 7.1429 |
Freshpet, Inc.FRPT | 05/06/2026 (AMC) | 05/06/2026 (AMC) | 1.34% | -7.15% | -31.02% | -15.18% | $2.38B | 7.1429 |
The Simply Good Foods CompanySMPL | 04/09/2026 (BMO) | 04/09/2026 (BMO) | 10.48% | -27.55% | -32.66% | 9.29% | $1.07B | 7.1429 |
Sweetgreen, Inc.SG | 05/07/2026 (AMC) | 05/07/2026 (AMC) | -9.61% | 1.89% | 23.78% | 23.29% | $1.03B | 7.1429 |
Vital Farms, Inc.VITL | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | -14.93% | -25.50% | -43.10% | 2.57% | $370.9M | 7.1429 |
| Average | 1.60% | -2.56% | -9.37% | -1.03% | $54.42B | 7.1429 | ||
| Median | 1.46% | 2.51% | -7.03% | -1.74% | $7.52B | 7.1429 | ||
| Std Dev | 8.97% | 16.50% | 18.49% | 10.73% | $122.10B | 0.0% | ||
| Min | -14.93% | -27.55% | -43.10% | -15.18% | $370.9M | 7.1429 | ||
| Max | 24.99% | 20.80% | 23.78% | 23.29% | $477.58B | 7.1429 | ||
| % Positive Tickers | 57.14% | 58.33% | 35.71% | 41.67% |
* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.