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Oversupply Risk '26: High PTSD Scores

9 tickers · $3.24T total market cap

Group: Oversupply Risk

This theme identifies industries with 'Post-Traumatic Supply Disorder' – a history of overinvestment and subsequent pain. Despite rebounding demand, these oligopolistic players exhibit capital discipline, leading to constrained supply, enhanced pricing power, and expanding margins. The bull case is compelling due to structural supply tightness meeting renewed demand.

Oversupply Risk '26: High PTSD Scores tracks 9 publicly listed stocks in this theme: 000660.KO, 005930.KO, 329180.KO, APH, ENR.XETRA, GEV, HWM, STX, WDC. See the constituent table for details.

Thesis update: 2026-03-23

Constituents

Build 20260519T212339

CompanyPrevious Quarter Report DateNext Expected Report DateLast Quarter Earnings Move %Earnings Move %Intra-Quarter Move %Since Last Report %Market capWeight
Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.005930.KO
04/29/2026 (BMO)04/29/2026 (BMO)0.75%-0.68%38.15%24.94%$1.30T11.1111
SK hynix Inc.000660.KO
04/22/2026 (AMC)04/22/2026 (AMC)2.38%0.08%42.04%42.45%$884.07B11.1111
GE Vernova Inc.GEV
04/22/2026 (BMO)04/22/2026 (BMO)3.56%15.96%38.18%-11.98%$272.01B11.1111
Siemens Energy AGENR.XETRA
05/12/2026 (AMC)05/12/2026 (AMC)-0.73%-1.31%3.37%-5.83%$169.39B11.1111
Seagate Technology Holdings plcSTX
04/28/2026 (AMC)04/28/2026 (AMC)20.12%7.96%29.66%14.00%$166.12B11.1111
Western Digital CorporationWDC
04/30/2026 (AMC)04/30/2026 (AMC)-10.12%4.55%73.65%5.63%$158.10B11.1111
Amphenol CorporationAPH
04/29/2026 (BMO)04/29/2026 (BMO)-10.03%2.47%-3.92%-19.06%$149.74B11.1111
Howmet Aerospace Inc.HWM
05/07/2026 (BMO)05/07/2026 (BMO)8.39%5.56%2.44%-6.45%$103.04B11.1111
Hd Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., Ltd.329180.KO
05/07/2026 (BMO)05/07/2026 (BMO)-0.56%1.54%29.05%-9.12%$38.22B11.1111
Average1.53%4.01%28.07%3.84%$360.54B11.1111
Median0.75%2.47%29.66%-5.83%$166.12B11.1111
Std Dev8.67%5.11%23.02%18.81%$408.56B0.0%
Min-10.12%-1.31%-3.92%-19.06%$38.22B11.1111
Max20.12%15.96%73.65%42.45%$1.30T11.1111
% Positive Tickers55.56%77.78%88.89%44.44%

* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.

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