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Oversupply Risk '26: Offshore Drilling

7 tickers · $36.56B total market cap

Group: Oversupply Risk

The offshore drilling sector faces a structural undersupply of high-specification assets, particularly drillships, driven by historical underinvestment and accelerating deepwater activity. Despite short-term day rate softening in 2026 and conflicting oil market forecasts, the long-term demand for deepwater oil, coupled with geopolitical supply disruptions, is expected to drive substantial gains for contractors.

Oversupply Risk '26: Offshore Drilling tracks 7 publicly listed stocks in this theme: HP, NBR, NE, OII, RIG, SDRL, VAL. See the constituent table for details.

Thesis update: 2026-03-24

Constituents

Build 20260519T212339

CompanyPrevious Quarter Report DateNext Expected Report DateLast Quarter Earnings Move %Earnings Move %Intra-Quarter Move %Since Last Report %Market capWeight
Noble Corporation PlcNE
04/26/2026 (AMC)04/26/2026 (AMC)3.99%8.20%8.12%1.23%$8.67B14.2857
Valaris LimitedVAL
05/04/2026 (AMC)05/04/2026 (AMC)3.52%-9.21%7.07%19.65%$7.85B14.2857
Transocean Ltd.RIG
05/04/2026 (AMC)05/04/2026 (AMC)2.52%-8.63%5.52%19.20%$6.85B14.2857
Helmerich & Payne, Inc.HP
05/06/2026 (AMC)05/06/2026 (AMC)-1.21%-11.15%10.73%10.94%$4.15B14.2857
Oceaneering International, Inc.OII
04/22/202604/22/20265.14%0.50%10.58%0.00%$3.84B14.2857
Seadrill LimitedSDRL
05/11/2026 (AMC)05/11/2026 (AMC)-2.96%3.39%13.86%8.51%$3.43B14.2857
Nabors Industries Ltd.NBR
04/28/2026 (AMC)04/28/2026 (AMC)-3.92%14.86%37.47%3.84%$1.77B14.2857
Average1.01%-0.29%13.34%9.05%$5.22B14.2857
Median2.52%0.50%10.58%8.51%$4.15B14.2857
Std Dev3.37%9.12%10.18%7.46%$2.38B0.0%
Min-3.92%-11.15%5.52%0.00%$1.77B14.2857
Max5.14%14.86%37.47%19.65%$8.67B14.2857
% Positive Tickers57.14%57.14%100.00%85.71%

* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.

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