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Oversupply Risk '26: Trucking
6 tickers · $133.61B total market cap
Group: Oversupply Risk
The trucking industry, particularly LTL, is transitioning from oversupply to a more balanced market. Capacity contraction from bankruptcies and stricter regulations, alongside a persistent driver shortage, is driving firmer rates and consolidation. While demand remains uneven, the structural supply-side changes make the bull case more compelling for established players.
Oversupply Risk '26: Trucking tracks 6 publicly listed stocks in this theme: CHRW, JBHT, KNX, ODFL, TFII, XPO. See the constituent table for details.
Thesis update: 2026-03-23
Constituents
Build 20260519T212339
| Company | Previous Quarter Report Date | Next Expected Report Date | Last Quarter Earnings Move % | Earnings Move % | Intra-Quarter Move % | Since Last Report % | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.ODFL | 04/29/2026 (BMO) | 04/29/2026 (BMO) | 6.52% | -4.21% | 9.71% | -3.75% | $42.45B | 16.6667 |
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.JBHT | 04/15/2026 (BMO) | 04/15/2026 (BMO) | -0.69% | 3.79% | 12.34% | 7.64% | $24.66B | 16.6667 |
XPO Logistics, Inc.XPO | 04/30/2026 (AMC) | 04/30/2026 (AMC) | 9.69% | -0.66% | 8.11% | -6.03% | $23.54B | 16.6667 |
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.CHRW | 04/29/2026 (AMC) | 04/29/2026 (AMC) | 5.79% | -3.27% | -4.37% | -4.83% | $20.01B | 16.6667 |
TFI International Inc.TFII | 04/27/2026 (AMC) | 04/27/2026 (AMC) | -2.11% | 4.24% | 16.72% | -2.93% | $11.70B | 16.6667 |
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.KNX | 04/22/2026 (AMC) | 04/22/2026 (AMC) | 7.94% | 1.40% | 7.64% | 3.95% | $11.25B | 16.6667 |
| Average | 4.52% | 0.22% | 8.36% | -0.99% | $22.27B | 16.6667 | ||
| Median | 6.15% | 0.37% | 8.91% | -3.34% | $21.77B | 16.6667 | ||
| Std Dev | 4.38% | 3.24% | 6.46% | 5.01% | $10.43B | 0.0% | ||
| Min | -2.11% | -4.21% | -4.37% | -6.03% | $11.25B | 16.6667 | ||
| Max | 9.69% | 4.24% | 16.72% | 7.64% | $42.45B | 16.6667 | ||
| % Positive Tickers | 66.67% | 50.00% | 83.33% | 33.33% |
* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.