Theme · live manifest · live theme JSON
TrumpPolicy PreElection Short '24: Tariff Losers
11 tickers · $167.56B total market cap
Group: TrumpPolicy PreElection Short
With Trump's proposed universal 10% import tariff and 60%+ China-specific duties, import-heavy discretionary retailers and consumer brands face rising cost pressure. Companies like TGT, RH, BBY, and CROX are exposed via global supply chains. Gross margin compression, pricing power limits, and potential demand elasticity create downside for firms without domestic manufacturing. A long thesis on tariff losers functions as a short beta hedge or relative long/short pair in anticipation of policy-driven cost shocks and margin degradation.
TrumpPolicy PreElection Short '24: Tariff Losers tracks 11 publicly listed stocks in this theme: BBY, CCK, CROX, DKS, FERG, FND, KAI, RH, TGT, W, WRBY. See the constituent table for details.
Thesis update: 2025-04-18
Constituents
Build 20260520T081747
| Company | Previous Quarter Report Date | Next Expected Report Date | Last Quarter Earnings Move % | Earnings Move % | Intra-Quarter Move % | Since Last Report % | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target CorporationTGT | 03/03/2026 (BMO) | 05/20/2026 (BMO) | 6.11% | — | 5.96% | — | $57.62B | 9.0909 |
Ferguson plcFERG | 05/05/2026 (BMO) | 05/05/2026 (BMO) | 3.72% | -3.29% | 0.05% | -12.15% | $42.97B | 9.0909 |
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.DKS | 03/12/2026 (BMO) | 05/27/2026 (BMO) | -1.72% | — | 10.09% | — | $17.59B | 9.0909 |
Best Buy Co., Inc.BBY | 03/03/2026 (BMO) | 05/28/2026 (BMO) | 9.42% | — | -12.02% | — | $12.40B | 9.0909 |
Crown Holdings, Inc.CCK | 04/27/2026 (AMC) | 04/27/2026 (AMC) | -2.05% | -0.95% | -9.98% | -4.92% | $10.69B | 9.0909 |
Wayfair Inc.W | 04/30/2026 (BMO) | 04/30/2026 (BMO) | -10.99% | -10.60% | -10.02% | -12.37% | $7.58B | 9.0909 |
Crocs, Inc.CROX | 04/30/2026 (BMO) | 04/30/2026 (BMO) | 17.10% | 3.73% | 3.37% | -4.59% | $4.92B | 9.0909 |
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.FND | 04/30/2026 (AMC) | 04/30/2026 (AMC) | 4.34% | 6.08% | -29.84% | -12.56% | $4.78B | 9.0909 |
Kadant Inc.KAI | 05/05/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 6.07% | 14.39% | -15.02% | -7.31% | $3.58B | 9.0909 |
Warby Parker Inc.WRBY | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | 05/07/2026 (BMO) | 14.88% | 34.14% | -11.92% | -13.67% | $3.13B | 9.0909 |
RhRH | 03/31/2026 (AMC) | 06/11/2026 (AMC) | -18.85% | — | 8.23% | — | $2.30B | 9.0909 |
| Average | 2.55% | 6.21% | -5.55% | -9.65% | $15.23B | 9.0909 | ||
| Median | 4.34% | 3.73% | -9.98% | -12.15% | $7.58B | 9.0909 | ||
| Std Dev | 10.10% | 13.51% | 11.60% | 3.62% | $17.38B | 0.0% | ||
| Min | -18.85% | -10.60% | -29.84% | -13.67% | $2.30B | 9.0909 | ||
| Max | 17.10% | 34.14% | 10.09% | -4.59% | $57.62B | 9.0909 | ||
| % Positive Tickers | 63.64% | 57.14% | 45.45% | 0.00% |
* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.