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TrumpPolicy PreElection Short '24: US-Canada Commodity

3 tickers · $39.38B total market cap

Group: TrumpPolicy PreElection Short

Trump's tariff threats and economic nationalism favor U.S.-based commodity producers like CF (nitrogen fertilizer) and timber firms like PCH and WY. With Canadian goods facing proposed 25% tariffs—including lumber and other natural resources—domestic producers gain pricing power and market share. Trump's rollback of environmental regs and pro-fossil fuel stance further benefits U.S. landowners and agricultural commodity players, while retaliatory tariffs from Canada may pressure U.S. exports but likely fall short of offsetting U.S. price strength.

TrumpPolicy PreElection Short '24: US-Canada Commodity tracks 3 publicly listed stocks in this theme: CF, PCH, WY. See the constituent table for details.

Thesis update: 2025-04-18

Constituents

Build 20260520T081747

CompanyPrevious Quarter Report DateNext Expected Report DateLast Quarter Earnings Move %Earnings Move %Intra-Quarter Move %Since Last Report %Market capWeight
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.CF
05/06/2026 (AMC)05/06/2026 (AMC)1.42%-7.31%23.24%7.74%$19.64B33.3333
Weyerhaeuser CompanyWY
04/30/2026 (BMO)04/30/2026 (BMO)-1.04%-1.07%-5.93%-4.59%$16.50B33.3333
PotlatchDeltic CorporationPCH
02/09/2026 (AMC)0.00%0.00%$3.23B33.3333
Average0.13%-4.19%5.77%1.57%$13.13B33.3333
Median0.00%-4.19%0.00%1.57%$16.50B33.3333
Std Dev1.01%3.12%12.59%6.16%$7.11B0.0%
Min-1.04%-7.31%-5.93%-4.59%$3.23B33.3333
Max1.42%-1.07%23.24%7.74%$19.64B33.3333
% Positive Tickers33.33%0.00%33.33%50.00%

* Provisional value: before LstRpt% reaches its 2-day post-report lock window (BMO/AMC adjusted), EarningsPerf is calculated from current vs pre-report and then locks to final LstRpt%.

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